Sunday, February 25, 2018

Who Has Voted in the Texas Primary Elections so Far?

Derek Ryan, a campaign consultant in Austin, provides analyses of voter turnout in reports on his Web site. In a recent report, he provides information on who voted in the Republican and Democratic Primaries through day four of early voting.

In my opinion, there are two salient facts: (1) The Republican primary voters are overwhelmingly voters who have voted in previous Republican primaries and no Democratic primaries. On the other hand, almost one in five Democratic voters have no primary voting record but have voted in a general election previously; (2) The enthusiasm seems to be on the Democratic Party's side. Of course, Democrats have more contested elections and that increases voter turnout. So far, Democratic voters are nearly participating at the rate that they participated in the 2016 presidential primary.

Here's who has voted in the primaries: Republicans and then Democrats.







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