Friday, June 21, 2019

Texas Party Identification, June 2019

The Texas Politics Project released the results of their June 2019 poll concerning party identification of registered voters in Texas. The results are depicted below:


The following information constitutes the most interesting in the chart:

First, there is a slight decrease in registered voters who identify as "Strong Republicans." Also, the percentage of registered voters who identify as "Weak Republicans" (the poll uses the term "Not So Strong Republicans) remained the same. Overall, the Republican identifiers are essentially the same as in the February poll (33 percent).

Second, the percentage of "Strong Democrats" and "Weak Democrats" are essentially unchanged from February (32 percent).

Third, the independents who lean towards one of the parties remained relatively large among "Republican Leaning Independents" and remained unchanged among "Democratic Leaning Independents."
The continuation of the large percentage of Republicans who are "Weak Republicans" may be significant, depending how one views the so-called "Leaners." Personally, I consider them independents, which means that the "Pure Independents" and "Leaners" make up 35 percent of registered voters and are the largest segment of registered voters. I know that "Leaners" vote and hold opinions that are even more like the people who identify strongly with the political party, but they are not willing to identify with the party, to make partisan affiliation a part of their self-identity. I believe that the unwillingness to identify initially with the party is significant and makes their political behavior somewhat variable.