Monday, October 21, 2019

Early Voting in the Constitutional Amendments, 2019

I will be posting daily on voter turnout in the election to consider ten proposed amendments to the Texas Constitution. Amended 498 times since 1876, the Constitution continues to have layers of new skin applied to the deteriorating body that was crafted in 1875 in response to the administration of Governor E.J. Davis and Radical Republican Reconstruction. Unfortunately, the skin doesn't perfectly cover the scars left by years of face lifts and other cosmetic procedures.

Voter turnout is not good in Texas, and it's even worse in special elections, which are held to fill vacancies in some offices, consider bonds, and adopt or reject constitutional amendments. In the most recent special election for constitutional amendments, November 2017, only 4.5 percent of the voting age population and 5.81 percent of registered voters turned out. The prospects aren't good for a large turnout in this election. Although the early voting percentages from the state's 30 counties with the largest number of registered voters is not necessarily predictive of total turnout, it does provide a measure of voter enthusiasm and interest. I know that several groups in Travis County are pushing turnout as the county this election is the premier of the county's new voting system. There is also at least one measure, Proposition 4 on the prohibition of an income tax on individuals, that has created some discussion.

So, starting tomorrow, I will be posting a graph depicting early voting in the counties from the Texas Secretary of State's office. I will also be posting the figures from 2017 and 2015 for comparison. In 2015, 8.30 percent of the voting age population and 11.34 percent of registered voters vote. The 2015 and 2017 elections will provide an interesting basis for comparison.

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